Week 8 MNF Betting Breakdown
Hey what’s up everyone! I’ll be breaking down specific bets that I like and honing in on a few things. The top of this article will be my official bets followed by an in depth breakdown on why I am playing those bets. At the bottom I will have Notes for each game with a quick line or two on who I think wins, who covers, if it goes over or under, my unofficial plays, and my favorite TD scorers from the game.
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Betting log: +54.49 Betting Results (2024)
Official Bets
– Najee Harris o61.5 Rushing Yards (-113): 3u – Fanduel
– Jaylen Warren o29.5 Rushing Yards (-113): 2u – Fanduel
Breakdown
Najee Harris & Jaylen Warren
I’m keeping it simple and straightforward here tonight. The Steelers’ rushing attack has a great matchup and has been running out of his mind recently. Over his last two games he has carried the ball 35 times for 208 rushing yards and a score in each game with a +3.5 Rush EPA, with 4.49 YACo/Att and +2.29 RYOE/Att with seven 10+ yard runs and six runs of hitting 15+ MPH. Jaylen Warren is coming off of his best game of the year, running the ball 12 times for 44 yards with one 10+ yard run and hitting 15+ MPH twice. While Warren isn’t playing up to the level Harris is, he is working himself back into the groove and should see an increase in efficiency in this matchup. The Giants at home during primetime present a ripe matchup as they have allowed the most Ruh YPP (5.4), most explosive runs (31), the most RYOE/Att (+1.57), the 3rd highest EPA/Rush (+.07), the 5th most YACo/Att (3.43), and the 6th most YBCo/Att (2.01).
Notes
NYG @ PIT -5.5 – u36.5
The Steelers win in a slow methodical game.
TD Scorers: Darnell Washington (+900)
